Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.046122 0.050187 0.054307 0.058789 0.063521 0.068361 0.073679
2025-01-19 0.040269 0.046283 0.052601 0.059709 0.067454 0.075614 0.084834
2025-01-26 0.034816 0.042122 0.050056 0.059251 0.069554 0.080682 0.093552
2025-02-02 0.030914 0.039211 0.048497 0.059548 0.072228 0.086218 0.102712
2025-02-09 0.028226 0.037373 0.047888 0.060695 0.075695 0.092541 0.112720
2025-02-16 0.026710 0.036724 0.048507 0.063142 0.080580 0.100451 0.124563
2025-02-23 0.023097 0.033219 0.045462 0.061017 0.079913 0.101801 0.128743
2025-03-02 0.020656 0.030965 0.043749 0.060322 0.080801 0.104858 0.134829
2025-03-09 0.018647 0.029098 0.042370 0.059906 0.081914 0.108103 0.141087
2025-03-16 0.017905 0.028835 0.042976 0.061931 0.086005 0.114926 0.151646
2025-03-23 0.016882 0.028104 0.042906 0.063044 0.088928 0.120323 0.160507
2025-03-30 0.015857 0.027290 0.042660 0.063877 0.091465 0.125235 0.168790
2025-04-06 0.014401 0.025791 0.041456 0.063449 0.092429 0.128278 0.174915
2025-04-13 0.013539 0.025099 0.041309 0.064394 0.095153 0.133532 0.183814
2025-04-20 0.012286 0.023727 0.040139 0.063899 0.095960 0.136355 0.189701
2025-04-27 0.011390 0.022834 0.039590 0.064205 0.097788 0.140462 0.197202
2025-05-04 0.010834 0.022430 0.039710 0.065409 0.100797 0.146081 0.206631
2025-05-11 0.010698 0.022694 0.040804 0.067983 0.105663 0.154126 0.219189
2025-05-18 0.009303 0.020766 0.038552 0.065745 0.103963 0.153624 0.220840
2025-05-25 0.008409 0.019612 0.037398 0.065013 0.104263 0.155691 0.225755
2025-06-01 0.007660 0.018646 0.036479 0.064574 0.104929 0.158215 0.231251
2025-06-08 0.007535 0.018796 0.037305 0.066706 0.109184 0.165513 0.242976
2025-06-15 0.007211 0.018553 0.037490 0.067878 0.112097 0.171042 0.252432